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Strange Storm Path Could Bring Snow/Rain Mix

Westport Weather Whiz Jacob Meisel reports.

We have a storm moving in between 5 and 8 a.m. Thursday that will likely start as snow.  The snow will continue throughout the morning, and it might begin to mix with rain between 10 a.m. and noon.  

There is also a chance that it does not mix as much as forecast.  This is what is causing such a huge discrepancy in models and snowfall forecasts, as we have enough precipitation with this to create over a foot of snow, but if it mixes with rain it will melt a lot of snow and prevent it from accumulating.  

Right now, I expect between 6 to 12 inches of snow, more than many others are forecasting, as the models appear to be a little to far west.  That total is one that will carry through Friday and Friday night.  So, the snow may mix with rain, and it would stay mixed throughout the afternoon if it does end up mixing with rain.  

In the evening it would get colder, meaning that it would turn back over to snow, and the snow could be heavy at times too.  This is when the majority of the snow would fall.  The snow would continue through Thursday night into Friday morning, as the storm stalls over the region.  

Scattered snow showers should stay around throughout the day Friday, creating a few additional inches.  Impacts from this storm may include snow days on both Thursday and Friday, but this storm is going to be very close, as it is impossible to tell if it will turn over to rain or not.  

The storm will be turning to the northwest, which is very strange when 99 percent of storms turn to the northeast, so this will be one to remember for years to come.  

The Weather Channel notes how there has not been a storm similar to this one for more than 30 years, making it even harder to forecast without climatology.

The rain/snow line will be north-south on this storm because of the strange storm path, meaning that western Westport may get more snow than eastern Westport.

This storm is so localized that different areas of Westport may get more or less snow.  Overall, this will be a very close call, and I will continue to keep you posted as more information comes in.  Snow days are possible both days but with this storm absolutely nothing can be taken for granted as everything can change in an hour.  Stay tuned! 

 

Editor's Note: Jacob Meisel is a 9th-grader at Staples High School who maintains a blog about Westport weather.  His forecasts are based off scientific models from the National Weather Service, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Accuweather and Penn State University weather models. 

To read more about him, click here.

To read his blog, click  here.

 

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